Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2015-12-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2899 144 0
FY ice 873 19342 1536
MY ice 0 1099 12908
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2413 8 0
FY ice 532 19715 1715
MY ice 0 1442 12874
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2305 0 0
FY ice 207 20126 1524
MY ice 0 1475 12974
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2247 0 0
FY ice 142 19888 1752
MY ice 0 1339 13322
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2222 0 0
FY ice 167 19769 1768
MY ice 0 1458 13306

Date: 2015-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1678 0 0
FY ice 123 20054 1459
MY ice 0 1380 13236
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1654 0 0
FY ice 147 19955 1445
MY ice 0 1479 13250

Date: 2015-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1206 0 0
FY ice 28 19672 1656
MY ice 0 1341 13371
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1051 0 0
FY ice 183 19585 1678
MY ice 0 1428 13349

Date: 2015-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 743 35 0
FY ice 137 19578 1668
MY ice 0 1398 13331
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 551 12 0
FY ice 329 19530 1713
MY ice 0 1469 13286

Date: 2015-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 676 17 0
FY ice 553 20540 1023
MY ice 0 1623 12826
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 297 0 0
FY ice 932 20345 1118
MY ice 0 1835 12731


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