Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-12-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97424 641 0
FY ice 2022 44168 3353
MY ice 0 3639 21928
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96289 611 0
FY ice 1984 45432 2726
MY ice 0 3423 22417
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96086 659 2
FY ice 793 46074 3572
MY ice 0 3199 22684
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94569 666 0
FY ice 1178 47069 3580
MY ice 0 3003 22892
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94477 674 0
FY ice 1270 46748 3628
MY ice 0 3316 22844

Date: 2015-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93103 862 0
FY ice 1291 47829 3553
MY ice 0 2928 22612
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93057 875 0
FY ice 1337 47556 3549
MY ice 0 3188 22616

Date: 2015-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93283 870 0
FY ice 255 47692 3989
MY ice 0 3091 22305
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92099 702 0
FY ice 1439 47653 3948
MY ice 0 3298 22346

Date: 2015-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92148 641 0
FY ice 1012 47915 3843
MY ice 0 2990 22459
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 91346 530 0
FY ice 1814 47822 3748
MY ice 0 3194 22554

Date: 2015-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 91465 543 0
FY ice 1455 49515 2942
MY ice 0 3451 21222
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90455 530 0
FY ice 2444 49070 3031
MY ice 21 3909 21133


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