Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2015-12-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5000 90 0
FY ice 1078 19434 989
MY ice 0 984 12383
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3906 14 0
FY ice 1392 19030 1394
MY ice 0 927 12662
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4708 47 0
FY ice 301 18935 1631
MY ice 0 1069 12681
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3247 103 0
FY ice 718 19387 1454
MY ice 0 1206 12713
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3109 95 0
FY ice 856 19290 1451
MY ice 0 1311 12716

Date: 2015-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2495 29 0
FY ice 849 19540 1731
MY ice 0 1169 12974
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2489 14 0
FY ice 855 19431 1735
MY ice 0 1293 12970

Date: 2015-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2328 0 0
FY ice 90 20119 1588
MY ice 0 1454 12981
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2096 0 0
FY ice 322 19990 1581
MY ice 0 1583 12988

Date: 2015-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2257 0 0
FY ice 243 20045 1631
MY ice 0 1252 13313
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2101 0 0
FY ice 399 20020 1658
MY ice 0 1277 13286

Date: 2015-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1886 0 0
FY ice 142 20031 1512
MY ice 0 1485 13162
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1748 0 0
FY ice 280 20106 1526
MY ice 0 1410 13148


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