Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-12-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99863 787 0
FY ice 1932 43821 1820
MY ice 0 3254 23358
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97786 741 0
FY ice 2791 43396 2678
MY ice 0 3182 23815
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99178 1082 0
FY ice 623 43665 2908
MY ice 0 3087 23736
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97909 580 0
FY ice 1538 44099 3050
MY ice 0 3456 22736
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97760 580 0
FY ice 1687 43907 2992
MY ice 0 3648 22794

Date: 2015-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96632 555 0
FY ice 2323 44504 3032
MY ice 0 4007 21299
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96631 545 0
FY ice 2324 44310 3009
MY ice 0 4211 21322

Date: 2015-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97019 626 0
FY ice 458 45753 3183
MY ice 0 3317 22641
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95459 531 0
FY ice 2018 45551 3097
MY ice 0 3614 22727

Date: 2015-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95144 592 0
FY ice 1110 46563 3726
MY ice 0 2901 23084
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94487 481 0
FY ice 1767 46368 3621
MY ice 0 3207 23189

Date: 2015-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93552 865 0
FY ice 1152 47601 3413
MY ice 0 3057 22653
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93035 786 0
FY ice 1669 47464 3073
MY ice 0 3273 22993


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