Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-11-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 107054 1295 0
FY ice 785 41725 1949
MY ice 0 3253 22591
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 105496 1449 1
FY ice 850 41907 1754
MY ice 0 3244 22650
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 103890 1597 1
FY ice 593 41952 2281
MY ice 0 3780 22191
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 100904 1097 0
FY ice 1509 43020 2308
MY ice 0 3327 23265
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 100827 1084 0
FY ice 1586 42931 2321
MY ice 0 3429 23252

Date: 2015-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98507 746 0
FY ice 2303 43585 2243
MY ice 0 3198 23683
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98470 770 0
FY ice 2340 43470 2238
MY ice 0 3289 23688

Date: 2015-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 100424 1050 0
FY ice 500 43205 2940
MY ice 0 3000 24029
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97773 714 0
FY ice 3151 43346 2937
MY ice 0 3195 24032

Date: 2015-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98510 643 0
FY ice 888 44079 3069
MY ice 0 3295 23235
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96791 479 0
FY ice 2607 44035 3007
MY ice 0 3503 23297

Date: 2015-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97424 641 0
FY ice 2022 44168 3353
MY ice 0 3639 21928
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95992 670 0
FY ice 3454 43789 3237
MY ice 0 3989 22044


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