Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2015-11-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94846 615 0
FY ice 445 3757 453
MY ice 0 390 5731
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94596 614 0
FY ice 518 3776 1067
MY ice 0 383 5456
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95025 503 0
FY ice 167 3653 1158
MY ice 0 297 5723
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94432 839 0
FY ice 298 3682 1124
MY ice 0 265 6125
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94418 826 0
FY ice 312 3699 1053
MY ice 0 261 6196

Date: 2015-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94159 991 0
FY ice 467 3674 1066
MY ice 0 286 5888
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94141 978 0
FY ice 485 3670 1031
MY ice 0 303 5923

Date: 2015-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93792 1096 0
FY ice 63 4090 894
MY ice 0 315 6065
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93486 989 3
FY ice 369 4160 824
MY ice 0 352 6132

Date: 2015-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93359 959 0
FY ice 281 4377 830
MY ice 0 255 6372
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93009 819 0
FY ice 631 4405 754
MY ice 0 367 6448

Date: 2015-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93113 605 0
FY ice 651 4932 503
MY ice 0 343 6307
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92515 550 0
FY ice 1249 4744 494
MY ice 0 586 6316


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