Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-11-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 111220 1056 0
FY ice 950 37071 3352
MY ice 0 1921 24744
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 109427 733 0
FY ice 1321 39958 2458
MY ice 0 2329 23712
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 108984 1126 0
FY ice 545 39343 3479
MY ice 0 2308 23771
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 107726 1197 0
FY ice 1160 40570 1996
MY ice 0 2928 22621
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 107705 1174 0
FY ice 1181 40498 2087
MY ice 0 3023 22530

Date: 2015-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 106961 1324 0
FY ice 1288 40687 2550
MY ice 0 3097 22251
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 106943 1297 0
FY ice 1306 40620 2571
MY ice 0 3191 22230

Date: 2015-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 107649 1048 0
FY ice 161 41902 1821
MY ice 0 3334 22378
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 106343 1093 0
FY ice 1467 41712 1793
MY ice 0 3479 22406

Date: 2015-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 107681 989 0
FY ice 482 41888 1744
MY ice 0 3798 21532
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 106397 1233 0
FY ice 1766 41479 1719
MY ice 0 3963 21557

Date: 2015-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 107054 1295 0
FY ice 785 41725 1949
MY ice 0 3253 22591
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 105896 1604 0
FY ice 1943 41160 2123
MY ice 0 3509 22417


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