Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice type - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2015-10-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10462 1147 0
FY ice 412 8352 1175
MY ice 0 455 7647
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8249 1205 0
FY ice 316 10383 1224
MY ice 0 494 7463
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8809 161 0
FY ice 297 11278 1053
MY ice 0 815 7188
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7900 456 0
FY ice 429 12110 1315
MY ice 0 748 7029
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7974 474 0
FY ice 354 12033 1326
MY ice 1 807 7018

Date: 2015-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6694 546 0
FY ice 180 13352 1429
MY ice 0 650 6768
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6756 700 0
FY ice 118 13112 1473
MY ice 0 736 6724

Date: 2015-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7038 374 0
FY ice 44 14284 1507
MY ice 0 558 6485
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6754 561 0
FY ice 328 13931 1550
MY ice 0 724 6442

Date: 2015-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6456 468 0
FY ice 58 15259 1403
MY ice 0 453 6364
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6276 652 0
FY ice 238 14885 1382
MY ice 0 643 6385

Date: 2015-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5266 394 0
FY ice 262 16051 1233
MY ice 0 719 6042
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5339 605 0
FY ice 189 15663 1141
MY ice 0 896 6134


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