Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2015-10-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18410 853 0
FY ice 320 8689 1224
MY ice 0 450 13496
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17456 866 0
FY ice 491 9257 1324
MY ice 0 469 13535
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17380 410 0
FY ice 55 10404 1054
MY ice 0 520 13536
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 16180 432 0
FY ice 555 10667 1135
MY ice 0 544 13810
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 16225 455 0
FY ice 510 10677 1136
MY ice 0 511 13809

Date: 2015-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 15091 606 0
FY ice 961 11276 1095
MY ice 0 723 13589
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 15146 632 0
FY ice 906 11254 1113
MY ice 0 719 13571

Date: 2015-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 15020 646 0
FY ice 169 12447 845
MY ice 0 722 13438
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 14243 961 0
FY ice 946 12181 846
MY ice 0 673 13437

Date: 2015-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 14224 568 0
FY ice 324 13340 711
MY ice 0 1085 13012
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13722 764 0
FY ice 826 13130 733
MY ice 0 1099 12990

Date: 2015-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13406 564 0
FY ice 398 14039 1004
MY ice 0 766 13246
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13127 824 0
FY ice 677 13743 998
MY ice 0 802 13252


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