Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-10-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 127767 2779 0
FY ice 848 18196 2903
MY ice 28 1396 27120
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 124245 2897 0
FY ice 963 20913 3140
MY ice 1 1186 26977
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 124513 1316 0
FY ice 377 23507 2806
MY ice 0 1495 26819
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 122310 1366 0
FY ice 1161 24851 3092
MY ice 0 1408 26894
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 122418 1388 0
FY ice 1052 24800 3063
MY ice 1 1437 26923

Date: 2015-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 119889 1524 0
FY ice 1531 26839 3031
MY ice 0 1528 26409
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 119966 1697 0
FY ice 1454 26592 3076
MY ice 0 1602 26364

Date: 2015-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 120273 1388 0
FY ice 316 28900 2994
MY ice 0 1355 26143
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 118861 1902 0
FY ice 1728 28231 2955
MY ice 0 1510 26182

Date: 2015-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 118372 1560 0
FY ice 542 30933 2728
MY ice 0 1617 25654
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 117518 1930 0
FY ice 1396 30353 2641
MY ice 0 1827 25741

Date: 2015-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 116057 1401 0
FY ice 985 32395 2864
MY ice 0 1687 25489
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 115903 2037 0
FY ice 1139 31581 2706
MY ice 0 1865 25647


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