Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2015-10-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-10-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 24676 0 0
FY ice 187 0 0
MY ice 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-10-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 23491 0 0
FY ice 156 0 0
MY ice 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-10-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 22049 0 0
FY ice 31 0 0
MY ice 1 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-10-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 20052 0 0
FY ice 42 0 0
MY ice 1 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 20050 0 0
FY ice 44 0 0
MY ice 1 0 0

Date: 2015-10-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18850 0 0
FY ice 337 0 0
MY ice 1 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19051 0 0
FY ice 136 0 0
MY ice 1 0 0

Date: 2015-10-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19608 0 0
FY ice 28 0 0
MY ice 1 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19031 0 0
FY ice 605 0 0
MY ice 1 0 0

Date: 2015-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19546 0 0
FY ice 65 0 0
MY ice 0 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19319 0 0
FY ice 292 0 0
MY ice 0 0 0

Date: 2015-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18410 853 0
FY ice 320 8689 1224
MY ice 0 450 13496
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18568 718 0
FY ice 162 8807 1188
MY ice 0 467 13532


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