Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2015-05-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 279 4 0
FY ice 664 10342 2425
MY ice 70 4171 11540
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 386 0 0
FY ice 883 197 804
MY ice 99 341 6154
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1271 0 0
FY ice 762 9 36
MY ice 45 0 3113
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1381 0 0
FY ice 500 0 0
MY ice 58 0 419
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1423 0 0
FY ice 463 0 0
MY ice 53 0 419

Date: 2015-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1475 0 0
FY ice 641 0 0
MY ice 105 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1527 0 0
FY ice 598 0 0
MY ice 96 0 0

Date: 2015-05-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2612 0 0
FY ice 319 0 0
MY ice 12 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1970 0 0
FY ice 825 0 0
MY ice 148 0 0

Date: 2015-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2882 0 0
FY ice 268 0 0
MY ice 26 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2143 0 0
FY ice 864 0 0
MY ice 169 0 0

Date: 2015-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2985 0 0
FY ice 248 0 0
MY ice 46 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2376 0 0
FY ice 706 0 0
MY ice 197 0 0


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