Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2015-05-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-05-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4 9 0
FY ice 101 11867 1619
MY ice 11 4914 11231
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6 24 0
FY ice 244 11732 1421
MY ice 64 5068 9326
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-05-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 139 58 0
FY ice 379 11991 945
MY ice 7 5147 9984
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-05-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 229 22 0
FY ice 514 10360 1914
MY ice 53 4070 11059
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 204 24 0
FY ice 536 10418 2115
MY ice 56 4010 10858

Date: 2015-05-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 336 0 0
FY ice 737 206 1539
MY ice 86 318 7720
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 339 0 0
FY ice 734 255 1642
MY ice 86 269 7617

Date: 2015-05-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1021 0 0
FY ice 594 420 289
MY ice 27 91 4735
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 506 0 0
FY ice 997 420 267
MY ice 139 91 4757

Date: 2015-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1356 0 0
FY ice 716 2 0
MY ice 47 0 1853
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 752 0 0
FY ice 1187 2 0
MY ice 180 0 1853

Date: 2015-05-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1547 0 0
FY ice 680 0 0
MY ice 107 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 813 0 0
FY ice 1234 0 0
MY ice 287 0 0


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