Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-05-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-05-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86922 646 20
FY ice 325 43996 2476
MY ice 11 8853 13459
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87081 699 35
FY ice 458 42649 2444
MY ice 65 8968 11561
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-05-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87507 652 40
FY ice 434 43264 1781
MY ice 13 9233 12168
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-05-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87491 691 18
FY ice 656 41892 2694
MY ice 53 8454 12904
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87462 734 21
FY ice 682 42037 2895
MY ice 56 8266 12700

Date: 2015-05-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87685 7 144
FY ice 879 2685 2799
MY ice 86 394 9738
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87682 7 152
FY ice 882 2730 2905
MY ice 86 349 9624

Date: 2015-05-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88560 4 0
FY ice 640 562 382
MY ice 27 237 5974
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87987 0 0
FY ice 1101 583 361
MY ice 139 220 5995

Date: 2015-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89246 0 0
FY ice 778 4 17
MY ice 51 0 2097
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88579 0 0
FY ice 1312 4 17
MY ice 184 0 2097

Date: 2015-05-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90336 0 0
FY ice 1062 0 0
MY ice 108 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89273 0 0
FY ice 1946 0 0
MY ice 287 0 0


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