Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2015-04-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83904 542 117
FY ice 586 8783 1270
MY ice 0 2092 2376
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84336 500 86
FY ice 585 9364 1152
MY ice 0 2243 2168
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84844 517 36
FY ice 130 9494 1106
MY ice 0 2213 2162
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84783 775 29
FY ice 153 9408 1144
MY ice 0 2122 2040
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84786 781 31
FY ice 150 9534 1153
MY ice 0 1990 2029

Date: 2015-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85059 561 28
FY ice 166 9868 834
MY ice 0 2308 1858
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85052 552 25
FY ice 173 9998 849
MY ice 0 2187 1846

Date: 2015-05-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85455 529 9
FY ice 30 9770 888
MY ice 0 2008 1995
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85313 572 14
FY ice 172 9799 887
MY ice 0 1936 1991

Date: 2015-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86266 646 31
FY ice 181 9698 793
MY ice 0 1922 2110
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86107 528 26
FY ice 340 9947 807
MY ice 0 1791 2101

Date: 2015-05-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86467 635 20
FY ice 169 9392 766
MY ice 0 1792 2220
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86168 541 27
FY ice 468 9642 784
MY ice 0 1636 2195


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