Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2015-04-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 11982 1973
MY ice 1 5827 11115
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11 17 0
FY ice 121 12446 1433
MY ice 2 5213 11502
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 26 56 0
FY ice 60 12370 1569
MY ice 27 5401 11581
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5 43 0
FY ice 101 12263 1593
MY ice 59 5139 11541
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7 51 0
FY ice 97 12332 1905
MY ice 61 5062 11229

Date: 2015-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2 30 0
FY ice 13 12259 1786
MY ice 16 5030 11881
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3 35 0
FY ice 12 12314 2071
MY ice 16 4970 11596

Date: 2015-05-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3 27 0
FY ice 40 12138 1724
MY ice 17 5740 10935
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 38 0
FY ice 43 12188 1972
MY ice 17 5679 10687

Date: 2015-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 13 0
FY ice 24 11856 1847
MY ice 0 5091 10799
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 15 0
FY ice 24 11946 2061
MY ice 0 4999 10585

Date: 2015-05-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4 9 0
FY ice 101 11867 1619
MY ice 11 4914 11231
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 102 12147 1580
MY ice 14 4643 11270


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