Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2015-04-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 11475 2838
MY ice 0 4301 12802
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 4 11330 2921
MY ice 0 3925 12695
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 7 11957 2268
MY ice 14 4322 12055
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 2 12070 2165
MY ice 0 5434 11354
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 2 0
FY ice 2 12129 2394
MY ice 0 5373 11125

Date: 2015-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1 7 0
FY ice 121 11897 1677
MY ice 1 5629 11379
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5 13 0
FY ice 117 11993 1878
MY ice 1 5527 11178

Date: 2015-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 32 42 0
FY ice 52 12369 1612
MY ice 0 5381 11559
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18 42 0
FY ice 66 12501 1832
MY ice 0 5249 11339

Date: 2015-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19 54 0
FY ice 55 12312 1536
MY ice 30 5085 11578
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 30 75 0
FY ice 48 12367 1829
MY ice 26 5009 11285

Date: 2015-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7 29 0
FY ice 25 12204 1723
MY ice 11 4833 11588
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 28 87 0
FY ice 10 12092 2126
MY ice 5 4887 11185


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