Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2015-04-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83278 572 12
FY ice 439 9049 1079
MY ice 0 1840 3101
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83338 523 14
FY ice 456 9484 961
MY ice 1 2033 2782
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83470 412 7
FY ice 246 9699 852
MY ice 0 2744 1857
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83617 747 17
FY ice 324 9498 905
MY ice 9 3142 1697
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83633 764 15
FY ice 314 9597 900
MY ice 3 3026 1704

Date: 2015-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83446 943 12
FY ice 242 8623 1271
MY ice 5 2081 2633
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83439 953 9
FY ice 254 8706 1272
MY ice 0 1988 2635

Date: 2015-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83455 739 16
FY ice 90 8916 1242
MY ice 0 1860 2648
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83311 934 28
FY ice 234 8724 1189
MY ice 0 1857 2689

Date: 2015-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83364 675 187
FY ice 344 8624 1547
MY ice 0 1796 2664
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83224 809 194
FY ice 484 8543 1464
MY ice 0 1743 2740

Date: 2015-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83904 542 117
FY ice 586 8783 1270
MY ice 0 2092 2376
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83912 584 102
FY ice 578 8789 1234
MY ice 0 2044 2427


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