Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-04-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82142 526 15
FY ice 295 48352 3424
MY ice 0 7274 16592
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82101 586 27
FY ice 630 47343 3714
MY ice 0 7632 16712
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82595 557 14
FY ice 388 47046 3447
MY ice 0 6784 16990
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83209 501 6
FY ice 596 45721 4299
MY ice 0 7023 17152
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83204 510 6
FY ice 601 46067 4384
MY ice 0 6668 17067

Date: 2015-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82981 478 21
FY ice 582 45364 4293
MY ice 0 7281 16577
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82978 500 19
FY ice 585 45703 4354
MY ice 0 6920 16518

Date: 2015-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83547 476 16
FY ice 316 44800 4526
MY ice 0 7728 15972
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83140 414 16
FY ice 723 45137 4647
MY ice 0 7453 15851

Date: 2015-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83643 691 9
FY ice 503 43980 4617
MY ice 1 8235 15765
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83186 685 10
FY ice 960 44304 4753
MY ice 1 7917 15628

Date: 2015-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83632 608 12
FY ice 682 43709 4715
MY ice 0 7564 16130
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83097 655 14
FY ice 1215 43803 4787
MY ice 2 7423 16056


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