Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-03-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83678 390 3
FY ice 806 48380 3376
MY ice 0 6962 16843
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83765 294 8
FY ice 610 49090 2694
MY ice 6 8136 15784
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83812 573 31
FY ice 308 48309 3275
MY ice 0 7593 16353
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83867 360 5
FY ice 397 48137 3432
MY ice 0 7653 16593
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83852 370 4
FY ice 412 48446 3516
MY ice 0 7334 16510

Date: 2015-03-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83402 435 21
FY ice 370 48542 3442
MY ice 0 7618 16640
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83387 449 22
FY ice 385 48874 3495
MY ice 0 7272 16586

Date: 2015-03-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82507 633 13
FY ice 238 48499 3602
MY ice 0 7607 16495
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82247 722 22
FY ice 498 48762 3625
MY ice 0 7255 16463

Date: 2015-03-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82316 709 37
FY ice 275 48359 3819
MY ice 0 7309 16948
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82208 774 49
FY ice 383 48601 3825
MY ice 0 7002 16930

Date: 2015-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82142 526 15
FY ice 295 48352 3424
MY ice 0 7274 16592
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82136 648 18
FY ice 301 48403 3448
MY ice 0 7101 16565


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