Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-02-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82464 282 73
FY ice 1046 43585 4481
MY ice 0 4477 18008
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82173 463 111
FY ice 785 44344 4721
MY ice 0 4207 18648
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82536 260 63
FY ice 646 45384 4435
MY ice 0 4544 18337
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82288 274 114
FY ice 840 46132 4390
MY ice 0 4963 17237
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82283 296 121
FY ice 845 46403 4397
MY ice 0 4670 17223

Date: 2015-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82747 263 58
FY ice 713 46301 3924
MY ice 0 5235 17922
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82711 298 70
FY ice 749 46574 3866
MY ice 0 4927 17968

Date: 2015-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83007 391 15
FY ice 536 46969 3482
MY ice 1 5353 17306
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82275 486 29
FY ice 1268 47266 3407
MY ice 1 4961 17367

Date: 2015-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83281 293 13
FY ice 612 47087 3445
MY ice 0 6468 16699
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82542 401 14
FY ice 1345 47393 3461
MY ice 6 6054 16682

Date: 2015-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83726 258 10
FY ice 830 46707 3520
MY ice 0 7025 16748
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82808 318 21
FY ice 1747 46980 3451
MY ice 1 6692 16806


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