Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-01-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84753 463 50
FY ice 515 45164 3936
MY ice 0 2741 19734
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84690 470 54
FY ice 899 44663 4183
MY ice 0 2949 19498
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85403 395 28
FY ice 535 44570 3850
MY ice 0 2691 19581
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84417 422 38
FY ice 498 43887 4320
MY ice 0 2713 20133
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84409 418 36
FY ice 506 44045 4564
MY ice 0 2559 19891

Date: 2015-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83601 547 37
FY ice 611 44017 4043
MY ice 0 2833 20002
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83627 548 44
FY ice 585 44174 4268
MY ice 0 2675 19770

Date: 2015-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83403 588 58
FY ice 362 43888 4104
MY ice 0 2723 20392
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83037 675 59
FY ice 728 43969 4291
MY ice 0 2555 20204

Date: 2015-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83361 487 4
FY ice 361 43321 3720
MY ice 0 3253 19753
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83036 600 4
FY ice 686 43477 3968
MY ice 0 2984 19505

Date: 2015-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83019 587 18
FY ice 1152 41576 4395
MY ice 0 3811 18997
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 82689 826 10
FY ice 1482 41386 4773
MY ice 0 3762 18627


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