Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-01-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84296 372 230
FY ice 559 46273 3790
MY ice 0 2827 20065
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84180 468 245
FY ice 628 45620 4381
MY ice 0 2906 20068
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84629 647 175
FY ice 392 45911 4068
MY ice 0 2937 19905
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84623 521 141
FY ice 276 45406 4068
MY ice 0 2981 19399
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84641 541 143
FY ice 258 45579 4270
MY ice 0 2788 19195

Date: 2015-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84493 456 102
FY ice 586 44973 4115
MY ice 0 2725 19686
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84496 456 102
FY ice 583 45172 4354
MY ice 0 2526 19447

Date: 2015-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85419 348 60
FY ice 460 44879 3796
MY ice 0 2690 19471
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84965 313 61
FY ice 914 45070 3941
MY ice 0 2534 19325

Date: 2015-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84828 446 61
FY ice 591 44096 4135
MY ice 0 2788 19948
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84318 731 111
FY ice 1101 44062 4314
MY ice 0 2537 19719

Date: 2015-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83786 585 46
FY ice 555 44593 3975
MY ice 0 2881 20043
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83359 710 58
FY ice 982 44867 4221
MY ice 0 2482 19785


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