Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2015-01-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86599 217 94
FY ice 700 6008 732
MY ice 0 1136 4643
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86290 218 187
FY ice 690 6256 1024
MY ice 0 531 5182
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85637 310 180
FY ice 328 6465 1324
MY ice 0 518 5804
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84664 299 203
FY ice 454 6785 1300
MY ice 0 333 5824
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84619 308 204
FY ice 499 6806 1299
MY ice 0 303 5824

Date: 2015-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84294 301 285
FY ice 550 6731 1601
MY ice 0 198 5995
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84266 311 291
FY ice 578 6765 1595
MY ice 0 154 5995

Date: 2015-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84281 634 101
FY ice 216 6853 1689
MY ice 0 185 5885
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83892 649 92
FY ice 605 6882 1659
MY ice 0 141 5924

Date: 2015-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84694 565 176
FY ice 373 7050 1435
MY ice 0 285 5494
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84160 520 157
FY ice 907 7160 1384
MY ice 0 220 5564

Date: 2015-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84747 463 50
FY ice 514 6785 1329
MY ice 0 305 5718
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84170 453 47
FY ice 1091 6869 1273
MY ice 0 231 5777


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