Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-01-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86722 221 94
FY ice 830 45517 2920
MY ice 0 3961 18179
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86357 218 187
FY ice 839 46043 3324
MY ice 0 3037 18981
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85695 321 180
FY ice 384 46152 3749
MY ice 0 3411 19270
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84696 304 203
FY ice 509 46207 3660
MY ice 0 3000 19890
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84651 314 204
FY ice 554 46309 3804
MY ice 0 2888 19745

Date: 2015-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84316 301 285
FY ice 599 45982 4073
MY ice 0 2935 20019
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84289 311 291
FY ice 626 46100 4232
MY ice 0 2807 19854

Date: 2015-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84288 636 101
FY ice 227 45931 4112
MY ice 0 2803 20056
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83894 649 92
FY ice 621 46034 4212
MY ice 0 2687 19965

Date: 2015-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84694 568 176
FY ice 373 45877 3895
MY ice 0 2832 19676
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84160 520 157
FY ice 907 46076 3936
MY ice 0 2681 19654

Date: 2015-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84753 463 50
FY ice 515 45164 3936
MY ice 0 2741 19734
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84170 453 47
FY ice 1098 45374 3931
MY ice 0 2541 19742


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