Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2015-01-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2015-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86704 238 108
FY ice 1088 45190 3412
MY ice 32 3568 19091
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86341 303 90
FY ice 1150 45694 3278
MY ice 68 3945 18406
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86900 266 123
FY ice 487 45869 3515
MY ice 8 3318 18879
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2015-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86710 258 108
FY ice 722 46261 3046
MY ice 0 3773 18509
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86689 256 108
FY ice 736 46477 3168
MY ice 7 3559 18387

Date: 2015-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86687 229 115
FY ice 822 45602 2980
MY ice 0 3264 18673
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86639 226 114
FY ice 870 45808 3062
MY ice 0 3061 18592

Date: 2015-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86219 347 180
FY ice 345 45858 3832
MY ice 0 3128 19531
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85778 303 216
FY ice 786 46062 3828
MY ice 0 2968 19499

Date: 2015-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85192 311 186
FY ice 483 46195 3605
MY ice 0 3311 19327
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84915 262 184
FY ice 760 46420 3587
MY ice 0 3135 19347

Date: 2015-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 84296 372 230
FY ice 559 46273 3790
MY ice 0 2827 20065
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 83972 497 224
FY ice 883 46057 3811
MY ice 0 2918 20050


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