Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2014-12-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88487 516 125
FY ice 638 5717 1050
MY ice 0 412 6575
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87921 422 112
FY ice 515 5930 1058
MY ice 21 305 7088
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87710 578 122
FY ice 382 5864 1267
MY ice 21 257 7181
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87084 566 125
FY ice 357 6156 1297
MY ice 12 276 7160
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87093 562 126
FY ice 360 6232 1351
MY ice 0 204 7105

Date: 2014-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87349 578 178
FY ice 514 5878 1413
MY ice 8 159 7321
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87357 580 178
FY ice 512 5891 1491
MY ice 2 144 7243

Date: 2014-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87351 448 105
FY ice 267 6085 1425
MY ice 46 256 6987
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86938 475 133
FY ice 686 6073 1409
MY ice 40 241 6975

Date: 2014-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87045 332 88
FY ice 687 5774 1572
MY ice 36 511 6364
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86716 369 147
FY ice 977 5747 1539
MY ice 75 501 6338

Date: 2015-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86586 162 108
FY ice 896 5898 1213
MY ice 32 811 5449
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86310 172 127
FY ice 1099 5870 1291
MY ice 105 829 5352


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