Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2014-12-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 21 13025 2321
MY ice 0 1572 14367
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 12766 2262
MY ice 0 1559 14727
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 2 12921 2119
MY ice 0 1725 13870
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 17 12610 2646
MY ice 0 1438 14620
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 17 12645 2746
MY ice 0 1403 14520

Date: 2014-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1 0 0
FY ice 147 12594 2796
MY ice 0 1473 14623
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2 0 0
FY ice 146 12634 2893
MY ice 0 1433 14526

Date: 2014-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 36 0
FY ice 9 13211 1935
MY ice 0 1701 13896
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 12 0
FY ice 9 13263 2094
MY ice 0 1673 13737

Date: 2014-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 75 2
FY ice 2 12453 2451
MY ice 0 1727 14413
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 18 0
FY ice 2 12535 2578
MY ice 0 1702 14288

Date: 2015-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 74 0
FY ice 0 12936 2179
MY ice 0 2080 13642
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 94 0
FY ice 0 12848 2391
MY ice 0 2148 13430


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