Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2014-12-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88981 516 125
FY ice 1132 43868 3387
MY ice 0 2788 21004
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88197 422 112
FY ice 719 43949 3490
MY ice 21 2574 21856
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87932 579 122
FY ice 426 44599 3574
MY ice 21 2673 21079
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87256 566 125
FY ice 436 44483 4026
MY ice 12 2469 21788
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87268 562 126
FY ice 436 44529 4188
MY ice 0 2427 21625

Date: 2014-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87466 578 178
FY ice 708 44320 4263
MY ice 8 2348 21954
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87479 582 178
FY ice 701 44287 4448
MY ice 2 2377 21769

Date: 2014-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87451 493 105
FY ice 282 44958 3382
MY ice 46 2621 20893
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87026 487 133
FY ice 713 45011 3535
MY ice 40 2574 20712

Date: 2014-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87190 407 90
FY ice 807 44064 4137
MY ice 36 2916 20777
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86844 387 147
FY ice 1114 44101 4231
MY ice 75 2899 20626

Date: 2015-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86704 238 108
FY ice 1088 45190 3412
MY ice 32 3568 19091
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86449 269 127
FY ice 1270 45071 3702
MY ice 105 3656 18782


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