Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2014-12-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 156 121 26
FY ice 515 12427 2358
MY ice 0 1459 14860
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 44 32 0
FY ice 79 13041 2303
MY ice 0 1394 14777
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 123 12833 2445
MY ice 0 1570 14626
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 44 12940 2404
MY ice 0 1467 14466
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 44 12972 2442
MY ice 0 1435 14428

Date: 2014-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 12764 2328
MY ice 0 1561 14574
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 12796 2372
MY ice 0 1529 14530

Date: 2014-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 3 12904 1992
MY ice 0 1651 14377
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 3 12952 2061
MY ice 0 1603 14308

Date: 2014-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 12910 2353
MY ice 0 1629 14028
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 12921 2322
MY ice 0 1618 14059

Date: 2014-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 53 12596 2828
MY ice 0 1502 14763
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 9 0
FY ice 53 12541 2973
MY ice 0 1548 14618


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