Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2014-12-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89791 618 74
FY ice 1605 42315 3701
MY ice 6 2613 22008
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89412 484 47
FY ice 1294 43190 3288
MY ice 14 2766 21450
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89669 676 67
FY ice 786 43397 3413
MY ice 10 3027 21026
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88919 659 76
FY ice 1015 43892 3360
MY ice 20 2795 21104
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88911 666 78
FY ice 1034 43930 3444
MY ice 9 2750 21018

Date: 2014-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88460 450 191
FY ice 903 43875 3490
MY ice 21 2711 21568
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88426 461 196
FY ice 956 43963 3566
MY ice 2 2612 21487

Date: 2014-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88263 559 121
FY ice 415 44363 3425
MY ice 7 2659 21457
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87955 526 143
FY ice 727 44424 3470
MY ice 3 2631 21390

Date: 2014-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87429 664 111
FY ice 403 44579 3840
MY ice 13 2613 21183
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87244 713 122
FY ice 596 44573 3831
MY ice 5 2570 21181

Date: 2014-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87758 559 142
FY ice 681 44366 4093
MY ice 11 2441 22028
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87417 631 144
FY ice 1007 44299 4262
MY ice 26 2436 21857


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