Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2014-12-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92700 465 182
FY ice 1100 40927 3814
MY ice 46 2701 22775
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 91667 501 50
FY ice 1797 41395 3771
MY ice 31 2533 22657
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 91585 499 130
FY ice 1022 41460 3653
MY ice 9 2563 22338
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90344 591 75
FY ice 1403 42082 3664
MY ice 13 2370 22571
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90325 615 79
FY ice 1418 42111 3777
MY ice 17 2317 22454

Date: 2014-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89433 600 114
FY ice 1356 42975 3464
MY ice 25 2736 21057
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89417 658 118
FY ice 1373 43022 3550
MY ice 24 2631 20967

Date: 2014-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90177 584 21
FY ice 657 43092 3386
MY ice 14 2912 21197
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89304 562 19
FY ice 1533 43272 3353
MY ice 11 2754 21232

Date: 2014-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89172 600 160
FY ice 790 43680 3278
MY ice 33 2924 21104
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88677 615 163
FY ice 1299 43702 3283
MY ice 19 2887 21096

Date: 2014-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88981 516 125
FY ice 1132 43868 3387
MY ice 0 2788 21004
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 88276 789 123
FY ice 1834 43617 3299
MY ice 3 2766 21094


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