Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2014-12-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 97273 749 40
FY ice 799 40701 3485
MY ice 6 2668 22316
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95397 732 58
FY ice 1440 41198 2610
MY ice 8 4364 19198
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94585 722 107
FY ice 327 40665 2867
MY ice 82 3012 21500
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93295 535 242
FY ice 697 40660 3397
MY ice 45 2647 22713
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93339 572 249
FY ice 641 40808 3464
MY ice 57 2462 22639

Date: 2014-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92135 348 195
FY ice 1328 41166 3869
MY ice 41 2590 22692
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92212 368 198
FY ice 1236 41288 3949
MY ice 56 2448 22609

Date: 2014-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92632 473 171
FY ice 679 41612 3635
MY ice 15 2372 22521
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 91345 360 149
FY ice 1943 41824 3648
MY ice 38 2273 22530

Date: 2014-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90696 651 70
FY ice 984 41561 3610
MY ice 7 2436 22378
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 90206 559 60
FY ice 1450 41740 3627
MY ice 31 2349 22371

Date: 2014-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89791 618 74
FY ice 1605 42315 3701
MY ice 6 2613 22008
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 89354 657 72
FY ice 2025 42248 3714
MY ice 23 2641 21997


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