Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2014-11-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9530 12 0
FY ice 420 11363 2331
MY ice 0 1245 14968
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8524 39 0
FY ice 467 11798 2245
MY ice 0 1008 14880
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7856 64 0
FY ice 110 11854 2499
MY ice 0 1179 14972
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6600 65 0
FY ice 333 12022 2371
MY ice 0 1192 14559
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6558 42 0
FY ice 375 12036 2408
MY ice 0 1201 14522

Date: 2014-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4984 40 0
FY ice 539 11773 2465
MY ice 0 978 14667
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4904 34 0
FY ice 619 11781 2524
MY ice 0 976 14608

Date: 2014-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 4161 60 0
FY ice 84 11836 2376
MY ice 0 1468 13919
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 3496 34 0
FY ice 749 11956 2315
MY ice 0 1374 13980

Date: 2014-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2810 44 0
FY ice 368 11992 1824
MY ice 0 1171 14660
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2283 35 0
FY ice 895 12112 1796
MY ice 0 1060 14688

Date: 2014-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 2023 41 0
FY ice 700 11895 2067
MY ice 0 1337 15010
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 1852 34 0
FY ice 871 11981 2031
MY ice 0 1258 15046


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