Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2014-11-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 101959 581 17
FY ice 721 39649 3079
MY ice 4 2257 24658
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 100450 733 0
FY ice 970 40401 2904
MY ice 0 2413 23608
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 99971 696 8
FY ice 285 40378 3133
MY ice 10 2353 23691
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98103 707 47
FY ice 617 40993 3432
MY ice 24 2811 22148
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 98080 739 48
FY ice 660 41283 3516
MY ice 4 2489 22063

Date: 2014-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96240 704 59
FY ice 1048 40848 2850
MY ice 2 2598 22225
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96156 724 62
FY ice 1132 41104 2930
MY ice 2 2322 22142

Date: 2014-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95617 705 64
FY ice 278 41519 2899
MY ice 13 4144 19367
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94556 664 84
FY ice 1350 41839 2809
MY ice 2 3865 19437

Date: 2014-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93682 741 163
FY ice 686 40930 3210
MY ice 81 2453 22639
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92820 711 153
FY ice 1549 41224 3156
MY ice 80 2189 22703

Date: 2014-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92700 465 182
FY ice 1100 40927 3814
MY ice 46 2701 22775
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 92133 481 217
FY ice 1656 41043 3733
MY ice 57 2569 22821


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