Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2014-11-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10707 169 0
FY ice 114 11815 1264
MY ice 0 1113 14500
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10501 154 0
FY ice 196 12011 1591
MY ice 0 1291 14797
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10346 53 0
FY ice 118 11686 2174
MY ice 0 1051 15027
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9781 27 0
FY ice 341 11373 2350
MY ice 0 1328 14883
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9758 20 0
FY ice 364 11366 2328
MY ice 0 1342 14905

Date: 2014-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9114 15 0
FY ice 480 11472 2322
MY ice 0 1204 14959
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9050 14 0
FY ice 544 11499 2287
MY ice 0 1178 14994

Date: 2014-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 8364 123 2
FY ice 105 11819 2350
MY ice 0 986 15085
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 7979 46 0
FY ice 490 11897 2265
MY ice 0 985 15172

Date: 2014-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6992 102 0
FY ice 203 11960 2464
MY ice 0 1146 14821
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 6587 54 0
FY ice 608 11981 2365
MY ice 0 1173 14920

Date: 2014-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5876 36 0
FY ice 447 11861 2369
MY ice 0 1004 14668
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 5398 19 0
FY ice 925 11947 2338
MY ice 0 935 14699


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