Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2014-11-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11197 104 0
FY ice 424 10871 1341
MY ice 0 1510 15217
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11081 41 0
FY ice 686 11079 1270
MY ice 0 1165 15042
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11002 119 0
FY ice 222 11574 1287
MY ice 0 1234 15227
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10881 90 0
FY ice 141 12270 1179
MY ice 0 1497 14358
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10869 100 0
FY ice 153 12256 1196
MY ice 0 1501 14341

Date: 2014-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10577 182 0
FY ice 112 11981 1741
MY ice 0 1262 14662
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10544 167 0
FY ice 145 12001 1752
MY ice 0 1257 14651

Date: 2014-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10464 71 0
FY ice 85 11926 1935
MY ice 0 1196 15004
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10314 107 0
FY ice 235 11939 1880
MY ice 0 1147 15059

Date: 2014-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10156 32 0
FY ice 263 11534 2291
MY ice 0 1097 14992
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9968 55 0
FY ice 451 11512 2200
MY ice 0 1096 15083

Date: 2014-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9530 12 0
FY ice 420 11363 2331
MY ice 0 1245 14968
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 9154 12 0
FY ice 796 11275 2152
MY ice 0 1333 15147


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