Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2014-11-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 106873 531 0
FY ice 1169 36366 1992
MY ice 0 2525 25113
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 106309 491 0
FY ice 1447 37295 1831
MY ice 0 2498 24548
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 106578 609 0
FY ice 520 37658 2008
MY ice 0 2347 24991
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 104948 651 0
FY ice 555 39274 1835
MY ice 5 2916 23840
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 104930 679 0
FY ice 577 39401 1992
MY ice 1 2761 23683

Date: 2014-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 103913 744 0
FY ice 556 38715 2496
MY ice 2 2511 24264
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 103854 728 0
FY ice 617 39026 2616
MY ice 0 2216 24144

Date: 2014-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 103752 689 0
FY ice 162 39242 2740
MY ice 0 2497 24651
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 103249 708 0
FY ice 665 39594 2747
MY ice 0 2126 24644

Date: 2014-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 102985 758 0
FY ice 478 39223 3086
MY ice 4 2396 24504
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 102351 775 0
FY ice 1114 39539 3155
MY ice 2 2063 24435

Date: 2014-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 101959 581 17
FY ice 721 39649 3079
MY ice 4 2257 24658
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 101097 854 17
FY ice 1587 39571 3203
MY ice 0 2062 24534


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