Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2014-11-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12314 722 0
FY ice 723 9013 1047
MY ice 0 1197 15785
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11633 339 0
FY ice 937 9470 1248
MY ice 3 1276 15801
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11996 357 0
FY ice 53 9996 1265
MY ice 0 1086 16248
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11369 132 0
FY ice 637 10398 1427
MY ice 0 1473 15340
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11358 148 0
FY ice 648 10352 1426
MY ice 0 1503 15341

Date: 2014-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11111 62 0
FY ice 538 10886 1394
MY ice 0 1358 15158
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11065 99 0
FY ice 584 10799 1389
MY ice 0 1408 15163

Date: 2014-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11354 113 0
FY ice 151 11058 1347
MY ice 0 1244 15183
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10787 3 0
FY ice 718 11102 1333
MY ice 0 1310 15197

Date: 2014-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11059 47 0
FY ice 235 11729 1285
MY ice 0 1339 14969
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10692 0 0
FY ice 602 11648 1236
MY ice 0 1467 15018

Date: 2014-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10707 169 0
FY ice 114 11815 1264
MY ice 0 1113 14500
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10507 76 0
FY ice 314 11717 1199
MY ice 0 1304 14565


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