Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2014-11-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 109733 1497 0
FY ice 1745 32353 1434
MY ice 5 2637 24848
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 108150 904 0
FY ice 2036 33248 1884
MY ice 3 2558 25416
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 108570 1017 0
FY ice 374 34362 2032
MY ice 0 2093 26184
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 107256 733 0
FY ice 1179 35580 2144
MY ice 0 2401 25257
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 107278 790 0
FY ice 1157 35560 2277
MY ice 0 2364 25124

Date: 2014-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 106568 437 0
FY ice 1099 36891 1960
MY ice 0 2544 24751
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 106542 481 0
FY ice 1125 36935 2157
MY ice 0 2456 24554

Date: 2014-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 106931 719 0
FY ice 285 37025 2097
MY ice 0 2462 24839
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 105758 524 0
FY ice 1458 37318 2232
MY ice 0 2364 24704

Date: 2014-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 105796 485 0
FY ice 575 38260 1957
MY ice 1 2601 24603
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 105063 696 0
FY ice 1309 38061 2069
MY ice 0 2589 24491

Date: 2014-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 104337 794 18
FY ice 586 38976 1856
MY ice 0 2537 23960
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 103975 1065 18
FY ice 948 38745 1958
MY ice 0 2497 23858


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