Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - European sector

Bulletin date: 2014-10-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95699 325 0
FY ice 130 2331 13
MY ice 19 1817 5590
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95989 319 0
FY ice 323 1935 22
MY ice 45 1396 5819
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 96377 328 0
FY ice 214 1809 74
MY ice 0 798 6843
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95714 627 0
FY ice 216 1965 175
MY ice 0 751 7048
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 95739 640 0
FY ice 191 1901 197
MY ice 0 802 7026

Date: 2014-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94924 505 0
FY ice 279 2042 277
MY ice 8 320 7618
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94942 490 0
FY ice 263 2020 319
MY ice 6 357 7576

Date: 2014-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94639 550 0
FY ice 102 2454 426
MY ice 0 283 7693
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94507 600 0
FY ice 228 2346 403
MY ice 6 341 7716

Date: 2014-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94129 725 0
FY ice 90 2648 503
MY ice 0 260 7862
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94021 780 0
FY ice 193 2557 467
MY ice 5 296 7898

Date: 2014-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 94031 410 0
FY ice 278 2702 579
MY ice 0 217 8006
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 93912 658 0
FY ice 395 2470 617
MY ice 2 201 7968


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