Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2014-10-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 15386 216 0
FY ice 1289 5895 995
MY ice 0 1004 16259
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13727 311 0
FY ice 1364 7156 935
MY ice 0 1067 15848
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 14272 601 0
FY ice 120 7691 947
MY ice 0 1192 15848
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12954 792 0
FY ice 457 8449 988
MY ice 0 1203 15702
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 13115 706 0
FY ice 296 8485 1021
MY ice 0 1253 15669

Date: 2014-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11764 401 0
FY ice 892 9383 1200
MY ice 0 1290 15822
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11746 368 0
FY ice 910 9385 1222
MY ice 0 1321 15800

Date: 2014-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 12360 384 0
FY ice 21 9767 1247
MY ice 0 1128 16024
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11399 399 0
FY ice 982 9763 1252
MY ice 0 1117 16019

Date: 2014-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11857 250 0
FY ice 75 10215 1357
MY ice 0 1129 16267
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11037 135 0
FY ice 895 10310 1422
MY ice 0 1149 16202

Date: 2014-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 11197 104 0
FY ice 424 10871 1341
MY ice 0 1510 15217
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 10934 274 0
FY ice 687 10565 1519
MY ice 0 1646 15039


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