Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2014-10-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 123903 1465 0
FY ice 568 18802 687
MY ice 0 3475 25178
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 120666 2062 0
FY ice 621 20803 830
MY ice 2 3502 25251
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 0 0
MY ice 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 116944 1314 0
FY ice 1716 24505 1245
MY ice 12 4657 23624
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 116661 1346 0
FY ice 2005 24525 1186
MY ice 6 4605 23683

Date: 2014-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 114135 958 0
FY ice 2002 27199 1296
MY ice 35 4964 22457
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 114319 1214 0
FY ice 1830 26878 1282
MY ice 23 5029 22471

Date: 2014-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 114469 1090 0
FY ice 362 29111 1087
MY ice 0 3745 23354
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 112249 997 0
FY ice 2511 28922 1063
MY ice 71 4027 23378

Date: 2014-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 112350 1287 0
FY ice 946 30372 1166
MY ice 3 3181 24157
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 110299 1194 0
FY ice 2948 30221 1240
MY ice 52 3425 24083

Date: 2014-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 109733 1497 0
FY ice 1745 32353 1434
MY ice 5 2637 24848
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 108871 1542 0
FY ice 2581 32091 1463
MY ice 31 2854 24819


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