Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2014-10-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-10-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18612 614 0
FY ice 36 5070 91
MY ice 0 1648 14025
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18181 627 0
FY ice 16 5509 128
MY ice 0 1254 14171
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17932 293 0
FY ice 44 5761 330
MY ice 0 1250 14792
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17996 122 0
FY ice 179 5559 522
MY ice 0 1369 15066
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17986 139 0
FY ice 189 5520 506
MY ice 0 1391 15082

Date: 2014-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17430 118 0
FY ice 269 5682 646
MY ice 0 1262 15269
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17314 63 0
FY ice 385 5715 645
MY ice 0 1284 15270

Date: 2014-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 17494 130 0
FY ice 62 5847 785
MY ice 0 1226 15591
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 16855 18 0
FY ice 701 5960 739
MY ice 0 1225 15637

Date: 2014-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 0 0
MY ice 0 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 0 0
MY ice 0 0 0

Date: 2014-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 15386 216 0
FY ice 1289 5895 995
MY ice 0 1004 16259
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 15694 317 0
FY ice 981 6102 991
MY ice 0 696 16263


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