Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2014-10-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-10-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 129551 2318 0
FY ice 119 14102 120
MY ice 16 2989 24855
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 127742 2575 0
FY ice 125 15350 155
MY ice 1 2586 25367
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 126708 1467 0
FY ice 207 17172 426
MY ice 19 2958 25315
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 125219 1334 0
FY ice 610 18045 574
MY ice 0 3730 24671
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 125175 1446 0
FY ice 654 18092 559
MY ice 0 3571 24686

Date: 2014-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 122293 1781 0
FY ice 574 19820 712
MY ice 8 3584 24939
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 122051 1731 0
FY ice 820 20001 723
MY ice 4 3453 24928

Date: 2014-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 120941 1279 0
FY ice 141 22272 919
MY ice 11 3374 25002
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 119767 2018 0
FY ice 1304 21529 809
MY ice 22 3378 25112

Date: 2014-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 0 0
MY ice 0 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 0 0 0
FY ice 0 0 0
MY ice 0 0 0

Date: 2014-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 115356 1329 0
FY ice 2301 25226 1306
MY ice 20 4859 23144
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 115059 2436 0
FY ice 2494 24259 1216
MY ice 124 4719 23234


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