Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2014-10-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-09-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 20155 415 0
FY ice 8 3434 0
MY ice 0 1426 15202
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-09-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 20550 277 0
FY ice 196 3177 6
MY ice 0 1486 14928
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-09-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 20626 342 0
FY ice 7 3648 16
MY ice 0 1944 13815
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 20580 382 0
FY ice 18 3756 11
MY ice 0 1621 14266
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 20562 404 0
FY ice 36 3751 17
MY ice 0 1604 14260

Date: 2014-10-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 20037 525 0
FY ice 3 4030 33
MY ice 0 1075 14992
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 20025 488 0
FY ice 15 4095 40
MY ice 0 1047 14985

Date: 2014-10-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19493 519 0
FY ice 17 4528 23
MY ice 0 1316 14329
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19484 738 0
FY ice 26 4358 33
MY ice 0 1267 14319

Date: 2014-10-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 19103 471 0
FY ice 56 4891 41
MY ice 0 1848 13286
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18930 662 0
FY ice 229 4716 71
MY ice 0 1832 13256

Date: 2014-10-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18612 614 0
FY ice 36 5070 91
MY ice 0 1648 14025
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 18382 759 0
FY ice 266 4875 149
MY ice 0 1698 13967


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