Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2014-10-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-09-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 135875 1763 0
FY ice 68 8091 2
MY ice 29 3671 25303
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-09-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 135927 1399 0
FY ice 370 8222 7
MY ice 76 3549 24935
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-09-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 135116 1917 0
FY ice 24 9359 20
MY ice 2 4040 23240
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-10-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 134806 2183 0
FY ice 47 9954 13
MY ice 7 3919 22415
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 134788 2206 0
FY ice 65 10047 21
MY ice 7 3803 22407

Date: 2014-10-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 133940 2458 0
FY ice 99 10407 42
MY ice 25 3586 24739
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 133910 2305 0
FY ice 121 10690 55
MY ice 33 3456 24726

Date: 2014-10-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 132999 1930 0
FY ice 88 12060 42
MY ice 29 2816 23704
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 132880 2618 0
FY ice 159 11440 50
MY ice 77 2748 23696

Date: 2014-10-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 131408 1946 0
FY ice 94 13100 51
MY ice 1 3394 24006
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 131145 2679 0
FY ice 348 12399 97
MY ice 10 3362 23960

Date: 2014-10-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 129551 2318 0
FY ice 119 14102 120
MY ice 16 2989 24855
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 129205 3447 0
FY ice 448 12963 198
MY ice 33 2999 24777


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