Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2014-09-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-09-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 21630 0 0
FY ice 301 0 0
MY ice 78 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-09-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 21255 3 0
FY ice 316 0 0
MY ice 84 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-09-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 21837 608 0
FY ice 52 1330 0
MY ice 33 1864 15152
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-09-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 21327 452 0
FY ice 34 1732 0
MY ice 4 1344 15340
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 21288 475 0
FY ice 70 1683 0
MY ice 7 1370 15340

Date: 2014-09-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 21101 640 0
FY ice 103 2210 0
MY ice 0 1418 14976
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 21032 513 0
FY ice 172 2394 0
MY ice 0 1361 14976

Date: 2014-09-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 21075 348 0
FY ice 16 2808 0
MY ice 0 1354 15434
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 20868 248 0
FY ice 222 2880 1
MY ice 1 1382 15433

Date: 2014-09-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 20862 556 0
FY ice 9 3037 0
MY ice 0 1541 14658
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 20707 537 0
FY ice 162 3062 2
MY ice 2 1535 14656

Date: 2014-09-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 20155 415 0
FY ice 8 3434 0
MY ice 0 1426 15202
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 20128 633 0
FY ice 35 3395 0
MY ice 0 1247 15202


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