Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
American sector
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - American sector

Bulletin date: 2014-05-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-05-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 278 1 1
FY ice 215 107 2700
MY ice 66 842 8419
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 279 0 17
FY ice 232 4 222
MY ice 33 9 3792
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 493 0 0
FY ice 70 0 0
MY ice 23 0 1243
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 448 0 0
FY ice 80 0 0
MY ice 25 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 449 0 0
FY ice 81 0 0
MY ice 23 0 0

Date: 2014-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 534 0 0
FY ice 154 0 0
MY ice 18 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 537 0 0
FY ice 159 0 0
MY ice 10 0 0

Date: 2014-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 826 0 0
FY ice 160 0 0
MY ice 32 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 673 0 0
FY ice 293 0 0
MY ice 52 0 0

Date: 2014-05-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 863 0 0
FY ice 169 0 0
MY ice 131 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 707 0 0
FY ice 320 0 0
MY ice 136 0 0

Date: 2014-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 795 0 0
FY ice 148 0 0
MY ice 244 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 653 0 0
FY ice 320 0 0
MY ice 214 0 0


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