Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
Full domain
  Ice type distr., stat.s
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of ice type - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2014-05-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice type

Model vs. observations, ice type area extent contingency tables

Date: 2014-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 80413 1377 67
FY ice 373 35818 5169
MY ice 31 9378 17711
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 80335 1084 69
FY ice 282 37940 2758
MY ice 134 11305 16741
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85814 935 60
FY ice 270 37408 1325
MY ice 75 11952 14149
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2014-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86023 958 16
FY ice 538 35156 4978
MY ice 70 10063 17177
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86048 1021 20
FY ice 514 35001 4907
MY ice 69 10155 17244

Date: 2014-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85608 0 31
FY ice 670 261 1716
MY ice 80 333 7435
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85646 0 34
FY ice 635 257 1727
MY ice 77 337 7421

Date: 2014-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86088 0 1
FY ice 324 68 13
MY ice 75 2 3553
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85540 0 2
FY ice 810 68 14
MY ice 137 2 3551

Date: 2014-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86177 0 0
FY ice 284 0 0
MY ice 66 0 127
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 85658 0 0
FY ice 780 0 0
MY ice 89 0 127

Date: 2014-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 87154 0 0
FY ice 675 0 0
MY ice 106 0 0
observations
open FY ice MY ice
m
d
l
open 86573 0 0
FY ice 1187 0 0
MY ice 175 0 0


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